25% chance of dying if admitted to Los Angeles hospital for Covid
The likelihood of dying from the coronavirus in a Los Angeles County the hospital has doubled to nearly 25 percent as the city – now the epicenter pandemic – struggle to cope with the public health crisis.
January was particularly deadly for LA Over 4,000 residents of the county 14,641 total deaths reported by covid-19 have been reported since New Year’s Day 2021.
In New York City, the first epicenter of the covid-19 pandemic, cases and deaths peaked in April 2020. NYC has reported 551,000 total cases and 26,331 deaths, according to the New York Times.
A analysis posted on January 21, 2021 by LA County Department of Health Services reported that the likelihood of a person dying from the virus while in hospital has increased from about one in eight in September and October, to about one in four since early November, according to the Los Angeles Times.
“Two people are dying from covid-19 hourly in California’s most populous county as hospitals struggle to cope with the influx of coronavirus patients.” ABC 7 reported.
Average daily deaths from covid-19 in the county have increased 267% since Nov. 9, reaching 44 per day the week of Jan. 11, and the death rate is expected to be higher this week, said Los Angeles County Public Director. of health Barbara Ferrer.
The increased risk of death is a result of hospitals are overcrowded with the sickest patients being admitted, according to Dr. Roger Lewis, director of covid-19 hospital demand modeling for the LA County Department of Health Services.
“During the current outbreak, when hospitals are extremely overcrowded… clinicians are extremely judicious in their decisions to admit patients,” Lewis said.
The data suggests that only patients “very ill and clearly in need of acute hospitalization” are admitted, Lewis said. “And it is likely that a larger portion of patients will be discharged home with instructions to return to hospital if their illness worsens.”
LA Times reporter Soumya Karlamangla tweeted: “COVID patients admitted between November 3 and today have a 23% chance of dying.” Despite improved treatments, these changes suggest a substantial increase in the severity of the disease in hospitalized patients, Karlamangla added.
A tweeter replied that the statistics made sense. “My concern is whether the same people, if they had been admitted earlier, would have survived, but due to the delay in admission until the severity increased, they are now dying. It would be tragic. “
Recent display status data that 7,073 coronavirus-positive patients were hospitalized in the United States on January 20 – a decrease of more than 12% from the record of 8,098 set on January 5. But the number of covid patients needing intensive care has remained relatively stable over the same period, falling to 1,687 on January 20, down 2.5% from the high of 1,731 reached on January 8.
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Daily death rates are still so high in LA County that the National Guard has been called in to help overworked hospital mortuaries move bodies to the county coroner’s office for storage until funeral homes can catch up. their delay.
“Covid-19 continues to claim far too many deaths – young and old – and so many families and friends are going through difficult times without loved ones,” Ferrer said.